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Friday, 18 September 2026

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Oil: Strait of Hormuz risk premium – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s energy team notes fading hopes for a US–Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, driving Brent toward USD 90 and gas oil to nearly USD 1,350 per ton. Drone attacks on refineries in Saudi Arabia, Russ…

Euro: Rangebound against US Dollar as volatility sinks – ING

Chris Turner at ING observes that EUR/USD realised volatility continues to decline, with one-year volatility matching lows from November 2024. He argues this calm backdrop is unlikely to change before mid-September, and…

US ADP Employment Change 4-week average drops to 8.25K

Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in late July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 8.25K jobs per week in the four week…

Singapore: Strong growth momentum defies risks – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng highlights that Singapore’s economy is set to deliver above-trend growth for a third straight year in 2026, supported by manufacturing, wholesale trade and financial services. …

Japan: BoJ inflation focus and rate risks – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley examines Japanese inflation dynamics and Bank of Japan policy. The report notes elevated Oil prices and supply risks, but stresses BoJ’s focus on core inflation and wage-driven…

Australian Dollar: RBA softens hawkish stance – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a less hawkish hold, keeping rates at 4.35% and judging policy “somewhat restrictive” as the labor market has eased more…

Gold pauses near two-month high as Oil swings shape Fed outlook

Gold (XAU/USD) pauses its rally on Tuesday after hitting a two-month high of $4,435 earlier in Asian trading hours. Price action remains driven by movements in Oil prices and their impact on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) …

Intervention bought the Japanese Yen a price, not a buyer

The Yen has surrendered close to a full percent through the session, with the pair up 0.93% and changing hands just above 159.00 after a 120-pip range running from the 158.00 handle to short of 159.50. That recovers rou…

EUR/USD Price Forecast: 100-day SMA caps Euro recovery

The Euro is poised to end Monday’s session with losses of about 0.13% against the Greenback, as recent news points to a delay in talks between the US and Iran, while, from a technical perspective, EUR/USD stalled at the…

US Treasury yields climb as Oil spike revives CPI jitters

US Treasury yields rose on Monday as traders braced for the release of US inflation figures this week, following a worse-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report last Friday. Headlines that read “Iran rules out talks with …

The Australian Dollar rallies without an Australian reason

The Australian Dollar has traded a band of barely 20 pips through the session, holding above 0.7050 and easing 0.15% inside it. That is the tightest daily range the pair has produced in weeks, and it arrives at the end …